Re: Tanner Rahier's Struggles
There are certain things I look for in a minor leaguer.
1) Is he playing at or above the level he's supposed to be?
In Rahier's case, he is above his age group, as most are playing elsewhere. He's the second-youngest player on his team.
2) What's his BB rate? And how is that compared to his K rate?
In Rahier's case, he's not bad. A near 20% K rate isn't bad coming right out of high school, and a near 10% BB rate is also pretty good.
After that, I look at production as compared to league and team. Rahier certainly struggled in both senses. Then again, 200 ABs isn't all that much to gauge someone on, especially in the year he was drafted.
While he's not set the world on fire, there's just not a lot of information here upon which to get worried or excited.
It's quite a bit different for Winker. He's playing two levels beyond where he should be and dominating it. His BB rate is better, his K rate is better, and his production is better. He's ninth in the league in OPS and the only 18 year old. He's second in the league in obp. He's one of only three 18 year olds in the top 25 in slugging percentage. Youth plus production plus higher league equals excitement.
"You can learn little from victory. You can learn everything from defeat."
-- Christy Matthewson
"Show me a good loser and I'll show you an idiot."
-- Leo Durocher