Originally Posted by RedsManRick
They know A TON about how to play the game. More than you or I could ever dream of knowing. Unfortunately, that has knowledge and ability has very little to do with the process of valuation.
If a guy is a great artist, does that make him a good accountant? Because that's basically what you're saying. Being able to paint an amazing picture does imply that you know how much a collector will -- or should -- pay for it. In fact, you'll probably be fairly biased, especially if you're told to consider all kinds of art and have never actually had to go through the process of selling your own work before.
I think what happens is that we confuse the ability to identify and compare talent, which players are likely excellent at doing, with the ability to assess how that talent has been converted in to production in all areas of the game across the course of the entire season.
I don't believe that the only way to convert talent into production is through metrics. I believe they are useful, but not the end of the analysis. It's fine with me if that is where the you want to stop evaluating, but I am not going to just agree with it. All of these arguments about players come down to the same thing: metrics vs non-metrics. I realize this is a forum with posters who are way more than just the casual Reds fan. I am way more than just a casual Reds fan. Sometimes, though, I find that people tend to get lost in the metrics and lose the baseball.
It's just my opinion. Much like who we think should be MVP is each of our own opinions. I wouldn't think twice about voting for Cabrera and I do think his leadership (not only moving to 3B), his 2nd half production, his production leading his team to running down the White Sox and his entire season bring me to that conclusion. How much emphasis should there be on defense is really the only argument against Cabrera. Are the extra 4-8 outs that Trout records in CF over the average CF really worth that much? Is it even that many? How much emphasis should be put on GDP of 28 vs 7...Cabrera does not bat lead off...How important are SB's? They both clearly had a great season. I just like Cabrera's season better personally.