Re: Dusty hints at playoff rotation... 3 man rotation, No Bailey
Originally Posted by CesarGeronimo
If Dusty starts Bailey at home, that's incompetence.
Homer Bailey - 2012
Home G 17, record 4-8, IP 99.1, ERA 5.16, H 131, HRs 21, OPS .874, sOPS+ 145
Away G 16, record 9-2, IP 108.2, ERA 2.32, H 85, HRs 5, OPS .559, sOPS+ 52
Does anybody remember what Homer's recent quote was about Great American Ballpark and how small it is? Unless I misunderstood it or am remembering incorrectly, he sarcastically made it clear that he really doesn't like to pitch there and thinks the size of the place is a joke.
He should be starting a game on the road.
Past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future results:
K% BB HR/FB BABIP
Home: 17.8 6.3 18.4% .322
Road: 20.7 5.6 4.5% .259
Yes, there's some GABP effect there. There's also an awful lot of randomness.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.