Originally Posted by PumpFak3First
He's not going to risk throwing Homer Bailey out there on the road in game 2, especially with the possibility of facing a 0-1 hole. Dusty isn't going to do it and most managers wouldn't either. You want a veteran with experience like Arroyo in that 2 slot if Cueto stumbles. You do not want someone like Homer Bailey thinking the entire series is riding on his performance! Get that through your skull. This game is more than just damn numbers on a piece of paper.
The Risk is starting him at home in a game 4 at a park he sucks at in what could be a must win game. If the Cardinals Advance they are using Garcia in game two of the DS to use him to the strengths of his splits.
MLB Road rankings among SP with 10 ore more road starts and Homer's stats:
2.32 ERA 1st
.213 BAA 4th, Behind Gonzalez .208, Darvish .209 and Kershaw .210
1.00 WHIP 1st
Rather than having one of if not the best road pitcher in all of MLB this year pitch on the road in a pitchers park to a team with the MLB low 31 HR at home, he decides to have him face that team who is 2nd in all of MLB hitting on the road, in a park that's a hitters yard to a team who has players that crush at GABP to a guy who has massive issues pitching in the same park.
You want to put players in a position to succeed as a manager but this is setting a guy up to fail.
2012 Slash Splits
.213/.263/.296/.559 on Road
.299/.348/.526/.874 at home
So at home every hitter is 2012 Chase Headley on the road they are good hitting pitchers.