Originally Posted by vaticanplum
Me too. No question. Pitch Leake tomorrow, let the game get away, and by Game 5 we are in an entirely different series.
Dusty and co. have been managing the pitchers pretty cautiously, seems to me; probably aware of the high inning counts and long-term investments on all of them. If they say Latos can go, I trust them. And Latos is a hoss, physically and mentally. Keep him on a short leash and have as much of the bullpen ready to go as possible. I know we've got a cushion still, but IMHO they've got to wrap this up tomorrow, let everybody get some rest and regroup.
That's a bit of hyperbole. Leake is better than probably 95% of the fifth starters teams would have the luxury of throwing out there in an emergency.
His home ERA is not much worse than Homer Bailey's home ERA. It didn't stop Homer from pitching well tonight. Further, Leake is a groundball pitcher (almost 2-1 groundball to flyball this season). Unfortunately for him, he was snake bit by a very unsustainable HR/FB rate. I don't think that should at all be a consideration. If the Reds feel Cueto can't go and they aren't ready to pitch Latos, then Leake should get the call.
That said, there are other ways to do this without putting Cueto out, so I would go one of those routes not because of Leake but because of not wanting to eliminate Cueto from the LCS.