Originally Posted by Brutus
That's a bit of hyperbole. Leake is better than probably 95% of the fifth starters teams would have the luxury of throwing out there in an emergency.
His home ERA is not much worse than Homer Bailey's home ERA. It didn't stop Homer from pitching well tonight. Further, Leake is a groundball pitcher (almost 2-1 groundball to flyball this season). Unfortunately for him, he was snake bit by a very unsustainable HR/FB rate. I don't think that should at all be a consideration. If the Reds feel Cueto can't go and they aren't ready to pitch Latos, then Leake should get the call.
That said, there are other ways to do this without putting Cueto out, so I would go one of those routes not because of Leake but because of not wanting to eliminate Cueto from the LCS.
He's a great #5, but teams don't pitch #5 pitchers in the postseason for a reason. I don't trust Leake mentally, in GABP, in a game that high pressure. Or at least I don't trust him as much as I do Latos. It's as simple as that. If Latos can handle it physically, that's who I trust.