Originally Posted by Scrap Irony
It's difficult for many of us to get beyond our notions of prospects. I get what you're saying, but see Hamilton as someone with 35 power, not 20. He has doubles power and his batting practice stroke shows a bit of doubles/ triples gapper line drives. (This also shows in his minor league number, but those are quickly disregarded here, for the most part.) He won't ever hit double figures in homers, but, with his speed, doesn't need to. He has enough power to hit it over an OFer's head if he cheats in. With those legs and his continued ability to put bat on ball, that's more than enough for Hamilton to go .275/.350/.375 at the major league level. Add in 80 stolen bases (against 15 CS and 5 PO), and you've got a player that will add 3.5 WAR or so to his team. (That assumes he works out as a well above average CF.) His ceiling is much more than that-- I'd insist he could put up a few years of .300/.400/.425 with triple digit SBs at an 85% success rate with Gold Glove defense in CF.
On a completely different but related topic, how about Corcino and Cingrani, doug? IIRC, you were pretty adamant about Corcino being the better prospect. Any reaction there?
There is no way that Hamilton has 35 power. The guy has 4 home runs since being drafted that have gone over the wall. He is an every bit of 20 power player if there ever was one in the pro ranks. Hamilton really doesn't have the power to hit it over the outfielders head if he cheats in all that often. Sure, every now and again he will run into one. Miguel Perez once hit a baseball 450 feet too. He also carried a career minor league SLG% of .341. But that is the exception and not the rule.
I agree with you in his ceiling being the guy you described. I could also see him turning into a .260/.300/.350 hitter because you can strike him out and he has absolutely no power.
I still think Corcino > Cingrani. Ceilings are similar, but I don't doubt for a second that Corcino can start and I do have some doubts about Cingrani still.