Originally Posted by Tom Servo
Jeff Weaver has definitely shown himself to be a World Series MVP caliber pitcher, both before and after his St. Louis stint. Washed up hasbeens and never weres like Ryan Franklin, Todd Wellemeyer, Rick Ankiel, Aaron Miles, Tony Womack, Abraham Nunez, Scott Spezio, and Chris Duncan definitely contributed to other teams the way they did the Cardinals. Nick Punto hits more doubles at a faster rate for the Cardinals than he does for any other team, because he's just that good. Perennial All-Stars like Lance Berkman and Carlos Beltran who are obviously on the decline in their late 30s find the fountain of youthful production in St. Louis. And of course most glove first catchers go from OPSing .595 the first year their team makes the World Series to OPSing .874 the next time around 5 years later, which is not to forget the .839 and .876 OPS' of 8th round pick Babe Ruth Craig and and 9th round pick Lou Gehrig Freese.
I would say that is more than a 'little bit' of luck.
This is what gets me more than anything. They just come up aces time and time again on these no name prospects and long shot signings. Freese and Craig went from old, middling prospects to lineup anchors. Jay Bruce was as close to a can't miss superstar as a team can stumble on, and Allen Craig...Allen Craig had an OPS this year 30 points higher than Bruce has ever had. I look up this postseason and see a right handed Aroldis Chapman they plucked out of community college in the 21st round. Kyle Lohse becomes a Cy Young candidate! If I'm looking at the Pecota projection of a Cardinal, I generally just assume the 90th percentile is the best guess.