I think this merits posting again as there seems to be a lot of irrational thought RE: Mike Leake. So here goes:
This hating on Leake has gotten almost absurd. Think about this in context of his being a fifth starter. He has a career 4 FIP, essentially. This year his ERA+ was 93.
Now here is the worst starter's ERA+ for each of the other 15 NL teams:
So there are literally 10-13 other teams in the National League that would love nothing more than to have Mike Leake on their team as he would improve all but two rotations in the league.
If Mike Leake is the guy that people are complaining about, Reds fans have gotten spoiled and too quickly forgotten who the Reds' 'ace' was during the previous 10 years. Leake would have been the Reds' best pitcher in some of those years, or very close to it. He's essentially a league average pitcher pitching as the fifth starter and that's not good enough? Yikes.
And for good measure, I expanded that stat to the AL where we find:
68, 77, 68, 61, 92, 71, 73, 55, 80, 103, 84, 95, 89, 74
So Leake was better than 25 of the other 29 fifth starters in the league this year, and some by a great deal. And the thing is, his peripherals were better than his actual ERA, which this is based on, so one should expect at least marginal improvement next season (his HR/FB rate will almost assuredly improve).
But a guy who is league average at the fifth spot, who can also field his position, hit and run the bases isn't good enough? I really can't fathom what it is exactly people expect.
If the Reds want to move Chapman to the rotation and trade Bailey or Leake, I'm OK with that. In fact, that's been my preference. But I don't *want* to trade either guy. If either is traded, I actually want to trade Bailey because I think he has a higher trade value at the moment and I don't think he's that much better than Leake (unless he replicates the last few games going forward, but I am skeptical of that).
Either way, if Mike Leake is the worst thing people have to worry about in the rotation, then I surmise it's not prudent to want to make changes to the rotation unless it's because Chapman is getting moved there.