Originally Posted by Rijo's Ghost
You kill me man.
I figured since you were "stats boy" you'd understand the run expectancy in that situation, which would have still led to a loss.
Okay, Mr. Smarty pants, lol.
In the Braves game, the bad call lowered the runs expected in that inning by 1.2 runs. So it was extremely likely that at least one run would score, making it 6-4, at least. That's enough to make it meaningful, as it changed the game entirely.
In tonight's game, the bad call raised the Giants runs expected by .2 runs, which clearly didn't change the game in any meaningful way. What changed it, was Miller's inability to get anyone out.