Originally Posted by PuffyPig
Leake gives great value as a 5th starter.
He's cheap, not terrible and has pretty good upside.
There are many 5th starter types who are relatively expansive, not particularly good and offer little upside.
Unless someone bowls me over on a deal, Leake stays on the team gladly.
The last thing the Reds need is to trade or sign a 5th starter type like Westbook who generally require 2-3 years and $8M+ per season.
Leake would be fine if he could avoid all the line drives and home runs. If he were simply a ground ball pitcher who occasionally got hit hard, I could live with him, but his line drive rate and homer rate this year were disturbing.
If the Reds could get a solid veteran instead, I think it would help them in the stretch and post-season. But I wouldn't overpay as in the example you use.
Best case, I'd like to see Leake succeed, but I really do think (despite some good numbers on Fangraphs) that his 2012 performance raises concerns.