Originally Posted by Kc61
Drew Stubbs fanned 166 times this year in 544 PAs. His K rate was 30.5%.
In my opinion, if he could have cut that number in half, made contact in another 83 at bats, he would have been a better hitter.
I guess you disagree, to each his own, but that's my view.
In some relatively few instances no-contact is better than contact.
Usually, contact is better.
I think everyone can agree that Drew Stubbs is a poor hitter. You can say it is because he strikes out too much. I can say it is because he makes too many outs and doesn't get enough extra-base hits. I think changing his swing to make more contact would improve his batting average, keep his OBP the same and make his SLG worse.
You might ask "if he makes more contact and improves his batting average why wouldn't that raise his OBP?" I would answer, because that approach would cause him to walk less and make weaker contact (weak contact means fewer base hits per hit ball than hard contact does). Changing his approach affects all his at-bats, not just the ones where he would have struck out using his old approach. You can't just isolate out the strikeouts and change your approach on those ABs. A change in approach affects every plate appearance. Maximizing contact results in weaker contact, so while he might snag a base hit where he may have struck out in the past, he might also make weak contact on a pitch he would have crushed in the past. Weak contact is less likely to get through the infield or become a base hit. So Stubbs would see some balls that would have been hits in the past that are now fielded for an out. Now consider also that making contact more frequently means you are less likely to walk (you can't walk if you hit the ball). More frequent but weaker contact can result in the same OBP as less frequent but harder contact. Weaker contact will definitely result in a much lower SLG than hard contact.