Thread: Offseason Priorities View Single Post
10-17-2012, 04:12 PM   #219
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Join Date: Apr 2000
Posts: 20,647
Re: Offseason Priorities

Quote:
 Originally Posted by AtomicDumpling Here is another way to look at your question: Jack Slugger's stats: .200/.330/.450 Mickey Slapper's stats: .300/.330/.450 [snip..] The aspect you are not considering is this: Since you are giving more hits to Mickey Slapper you are also giving him more Total Bases (singles grant 1 TB while walks do not count as Total Bases). Since you are giving him more Total Bases his SLG should go up above the .450 mark we have quoted but it doesn't (SLG=TBs/ABs). Since we know his SLG remained at .450 despite the extra Total Bases from base hits we can conclude that Mickey Slapper must be losing Total Bases somewhere else (we know he has the same Total Bases as Jack Slugger or else they would have different SLG rates). .

Real world example.. 100 plate appearances (so BBs count.)

Jack Slugger would walk 13 times, bringing his "at bats" down to 87.
He's have 17 hits.
He'd have 39 total bases to maintain that slugging of .450
So he'd have 2.29 bases per hit
Factor in the walks.. he averages .56 bases every time he comes to the plate.

Mickey Slapper
3 walks..
97 at bats left.
29 hits
..to slug 450 he'd need 43.6 total bases
So he gets roughly 1.5 bases per hit
Factor in the walks.. he averages .466 bases every time he comes to the plate.

IMO, they are kind of close, since hits are more valuable than walks.. Maybe someone else can determine the exact math..

Slapper is the type of person I would like the Reds to add, due to their current "all or nothing" offense.

Not sure this is a realistic example either, because I'm guessing not many hitters average 2.29 bases per hit..(Maybe I'm wrong though, maybe this is common?)
Obviously if Jack Slugger could raise his batting average a bit, you'd expect his slugging to increase as well.
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