Originally Posted by mth123
I think what is being ignored here is KC's original premise that this team needs some diversification of its skillset. Its not necessarily that Mickey Slaphitter is better than Jack Slugger. The problem is that the Reds have a team filled with Jack Sluggers and there isn't a Mickey Slaphitter to be found. I know this, I just watched the Reds leave a small army on base in Games 3, 4 and 5 of the series they lost to the Giants. Two outs and a runner on second, I'd much rather have Mickey Slaphitter up there to get the run home than I would Jack Slugger. Increased ability to get a hit would seem to mean increased ability to get the hit. A walk doesn't do much good in the situation I just sighted. Its simply adds another runner to be left on base. Getting a hit on the other hand....
The study has shown that both hitters are equally adept at producing runs. Mickey Slapper is more reliant on his teammates to get on base and into scoring position for him, whereas Jack Slugger can create runs by himself. In the end they both create the same number of runs.
In your example of Games 3, 4 and 5 of the playoffs it seems to me that the Reds were playing more like Mickey Slapper than Jack Slugger. They were getting plenty of singles (12 hits in game 5 but only 4 runs). The problem with a singles hitter like Mickey Slapper is that you have to get at least 2 and likely 3 singles in the same inning just to score one run. With extra-base hits you can score much more quickly and are much more likely to score multiple runs. The reason the Reds left so many runners on base in those games was because they were only hitting singles. You need to mix in some extra base hits if you want to score enough runs to win.