Originally Posted by Brutus
I'd be terribly shocked if the Reds didn't exercise their portion of the option considering it's only $5 million. You could cut Ludwick's production in half and, in theory, he'd still be worth that much.
That said, I think it's too early to assume that declining the option means he won't end up in Cincinnati next season. Jocketty has shown that declined options on either end doesn't preclude a team from hammering out a deal. The market will obviously determine whether the Reds can make a decent offer without assuming too much risk.
Frankly, I would have been shocked as well if it were squarely on Walt's shoulders. I just said that's would I would have done. I personally don't expect Ryan to repeat this year in 2013 and think his expected production could be had for less. Or more to the point, I don't believe his 2012 production could be had without praying to the gods. Gut feel only of course.