Originally Posted by Benihana
Jim Bowden has an article up where he predicts final contracts for each FA. Relevant to the Reds:
Michael Bourn 5 years, $75MM
BJ Upton 5 years, $70MM
Nick Swisher 3 years, $33MM
Torii Hunter 2 years, $20MM
Kevin Youkilis, 2 years $18MM
Ryan Ludwick, 2 years $13MM
Jonathan Broxton 2 years, $13MM
Ryan Madson 1 year, $7.5MM
Hypothetically, if the Reds could pay $15-$17MM on FA, who would you want?
I'd take one of Hunter/Ludwick/Youkilis - probably in that order, and Madson.
No thanks to Broxton at 2/$13M and a BIG no thanks to Bourn or Upton at those prices.
If the Reds are confident in Marshall or some other in-house option closing, or they want to keep Chapman in that role, I would also consider Swisher at 3 years and $33MM. He could play CF against RHP and LF against LHP, and move to LF permanently once Hamilton is ready. He is also a semi-local guy (WV native and OSU alumni).
I don't have a problem paying that to both Ludwick and Broxton. The only problem I have is it doesn't solve the CF problem. Could I get Victorino or Pagan for around $5M a year?
IMO getting a close is important for next year. It allows them to try Chapman at SP in spring training and if it doesn't work then it gives them one heck of a pen going into the season.
I would like Ludwick back but at what price. I think he proved his worth this season and proved that his bat can still play outside of the NL West.
CF is the tricky position because Hamilton looks to be the heir apparent soon. But the Reds need production out of the leadoff spot and Stubbs and Cozart aren't going to give that to you. If it can down to it I wouldn't be opposed to Pagan in CF with a move to LF when Hamilton is ready.