Originally Posted by Blitz Dorsey
This is where BABIP can be a flawed stat IMO. A ball put in play against a soft-tossing lefty would seem to have a better chance of "finding a hole" than a ball put in play against a flamethrower. The problem with BABIP is that it pretends that the odds are the same once the ball is put into play no matter which pitcher you are facing. I would love to see the numbers over a long period of time, but I would not be surprised at all to learn that Sean Marshall's BABIP is consistently higher than that of Aroldis Chapman's. Once it becomes "consistent" it's no longer "bad luck."
I disagree. Some batters are going to square up a baseball from time to time no matter what. But Marshall's got fantastic swing n' miss stuff. When they DO hit the ball, it's on the ground most often. And we've got one of the best IF defenses in the majors.
While you could label Marshall as a "soft tosser", the fact that he throws mostly breaking balls makes his FB look alot faster to the hitter. He throws it around 92 or so IIRC, but after a large helping of that NASTY breaking ball...that heater must look like 95+.
Regardless, there weren't that many hard hit balls off of Marshall those first few weeks. If they were hit a foot to the right or left, a large portion of them would've been outs. That screams poor luck to me. Oh well, it's a moot point anyway. I'm really not sure why I'm arguing about it. LOL. Boring week I guess. :O)