Originally Posted by corkedbat
I'd rather have Victorino or Pagan for less $$$ as a bridge to Billy than pay more for Bourn and lose the draft pick.
You can't plan your major league future around prospects. Prospects are great and all, but many of them never amount to squat. Just go back and look at any old 'top prospects list' and you will see plenty of guys ranked higher than Billy who never lived up to their promise.
As an example, I pulled some of my old Baseball Prospectuses off the shelf and found Jeremy Reed and Andy Marte ranked behind Joe Mauer as the top three prospects in baseball in 2004. Obviously, Mauer was legit, but those other two guys were complete flops. The following year was even worse, with Marte as the #1 prospect, Delmon Young as #2, Dallas McPherson at #4 and Casey Kotchman at #5. 2006 featured Young at #1 and Jeremy Hermida at #2.
My point is there are no 'sure things' when it comes to prospects. If the Reds can sign a quality MLB ballplayer they should. Billy will either force them to make room for him .... or he won't. Either way, signing a guy like Bourn would improve this team. If Billy forces the Reds to make a move to accommodate him, awesome. If not, no big deal, as the Reds already have an accomplished major leaguer manning CF.