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Old 11-11-2012, 08:25 PM   #8
HometownHero
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Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 1,849
Re: Justin Upton - *Reds willing to Trade SS

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hondo View Post
You can use the sabermetrics all you want but that doesn't change the fact of supply and demand... Cozart has to be on the list of Towers because he is available... Andrus is not. Profar is not. Tulo is not, plus he makes too much money... Yunel Escobar is there but makes too much money for the Diamondbacks...

I am not sure who you think the Diamondbacks are going to get? I guess one baseball trade that would make sense is Cabrera from Cleveland for Upton but Cabrera still makes too much money to make sense for Arizona...

If you try to tell me Tyler Pastornicky is a better option, that can be argued but you still don't know if he's going to be a light hit, all glove SS and that really doesn't make a difference because Cozart is Gold Glove Caliber.

IMO Cozart, Leake, and 2 prospects could get the deal done...

You must go off of Trades in the last 2/3 years for comparables...

The last Impact 25/26 Year Old Bat who was traded was Michael Bourn from Houston for

LHP Brett Oberholtzer, Mississippi (AA)
RHP Paul Clemens, Mississippi (AA)
RHP Juan Abreu, Gwinnett (AAA)
OF Jordan Schafer, Atlanta

from Atlanta...

So you'd have to go off of a trade like that and Upton makes far more $ the next 3 years than Bourn did...

Now you'll probably go off on a comparison of Upton and Bourn... Which I can assure you I don't need you to do because they are young outfielders, albeit different skill sets...

Bourn 8.3 WAR 3 years prior to trade

Upton 7.7 WAR 3 Years prior to this offseason
Supply and demand is right, they have the supply of Justin Upton and they demand a young SS or they don't have to deal. A 27yo who already has used up some service time with poor results isn't what they want when they already have aversion of that on their roster.

Tyler Pastornicky or Andrelton Simmons from the Braves are better optiona than Cozart and when you factor in they will be 23 and can play 4 full years to be the same age as ZC and his 82 OPS+ then when you also factor in if the Rangers could get one of the 2 SS prospects from the Braves they would also add more talent from their deep system to which will be better than both Cozart or Leake.

No trade is comparable with another, and especially one done by the previous Astros GM who gave away every named player on his roster with next to nothing to show for it.
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