Originally Posted by mdccclxix
Victorino 2 years 14 million, 3rd year option. Mentors Billy. You can keep your prospects. His BABIP was low last year, steals just as many bags as Stubbs. Best power/defense /speed combo on the market and could be had for less than I'm stating here. Doesn't hardly strike out. A true upgrade in CF. Allows you to keep Leake in the pen for the Aroldis project. Stubbs could even stick around to hit vs LHP.
You wouldn't keep Stubbs around to hit lefty pitching, because that's what Victorino does.
Victorino does not hit righty pitching particularly well, did poorly against them in 2012. He does most of his damage against lefties.
Lifetime Victorino has a .330 OBP and a .732 OPS against righties.
Lifetime Victorino has a .373 OBP and a .881 OPS against lefties.
In 2012, Victorino had a .296 OPS and a .629 OPS against righty pitching (472 PAs).
In 2012, Victorino had a .388 OBP and a .906 OPS against lefty pitching.
I think Victorino has a good chance to join the Reds. He would be viewed as the stopgap to Hamilton. But he's a high risk signing because if he OPSs .629 against righty pitching again, he won't help the offense much at all.
Personally, he would not be my choice.