Originally Posted by REDREAD
While I agree with most of your thoughts on this thread, I think I would keep Arrendondo and Logan (at least until clear upgrades are found).
IMO, you have a group of Simon/Logan/Arrendondo.. None of these guys are particularly expensive..You hope 1 or 2 of these guys pitches well enough to eat the innings when the Reds are behind, but close.. Honestly, I don't think we're going to find better guys off the waiver wire. Cingrani might be an upgrade to the least effective of the three, but there's no rush to make that decision.. let the season play out and see if a Cingrani callup will be beneficial or not.
I do agree with the DFA of Bray.. That guy has serious health problems and is not reliable.
We already have a shortage of bodies in the bullpen from Broxton's FA and Masset's health problems.. I'm not in a hurry to DFA or trade bullpen arms until we get a little more depth. IMO, we got very lucky last year with Hoover and Simon.. When I say luck, I mean the Reds did an outstanding job.. It's rare to be able to pick up two relievers like that in spring training and have them be effective IMO. I wouldn't count on being able to do that every year.. I've seen too many disasters from waiver wire pickup types..
Well, I'm of the opinion that Ondrusek and Simon will experience a huge drop-off and I'd just as soon move them before 5+ ERA shows itself during Red's games. Those two are interchangebale parts IMO. They had really good years in 2012, but Simon is already 32 with a poor perfromance history and Ondrusek just doesn't do much. If these guys have any value, I'd cash it in. They are totally replaceable. Arredondo is better IMO and I like that he can be used as a psuedo-loogy, but I want a real lefty for that role and a late inning type as well. If Chapman starts, they'll need a long relief spot for Leake. I suppose keeping Arredondo in a mop-up role with potential for more would be OK, but if some team sees him as more than that and would give up something for him, I'd move him. I only see one spot for Arredondo/Ondrusek/Masset/Simon and even if they are all gone, its the most easily filled spot on the roster. Banking on all those guys filling spots in 2013 is a quick way to have a crummy bullpen IMO. I'd rather not have two of them to be honest. Time to look for next year's version of lightning in a bottle.
New Guy (Closer)
New Guy (LHMR - maybe Cingrani)