Originally Posted by Edd Roush
What indication has Arroyo given that next year will be his last in Cincinnati? Arroyo has taken a considerable liking to Cincinnati (of course still behind Boston), but he definitely enjoys his celebrity status here. Furthermore, his style of pitching is the kind that ages well. I am not the biggest Bronson fan on this board, but I will give credit where credit is due and Arroyo pitched well above my expectations last year. I expect him to be a solid bottom the rotation starter again in 2013 & I think that we would certainly be the most likely team for him again in 2014. I would say there is a better chance that he is in Cincinnati's rotation in 2014 than he is not.
Even if he is not, the Reds would still have Cingrani waiting in the wings and who knows who else is going to develop throughout all of 2013. Sure, we are trading away depth, but my proposed deal would still allow the Reds to have backup plans and some depth, just not as much.
As I stated in my last post, it is not that KC would want Leake straight up more than Bailey, it's that they want lots of pitching that is major league ready and Corcino, Leake and Lotzkar could hypothetically fill three rotation spots for cheap where Bailey would be more expensively filling one rotation spot when the Royals aren't going to compete for anything in 2013 anyways.
I like Arroyo. And I'm probably in the minority.
My comment simply was based on his contract being over after 2013.
While I'd like to see the Reds sign his rubber arm, I think the contracts of Votto, BP, and the impending extensions of the starting rotation and other players in the near future will impede being able to re-sign Bronson. Just my opinion. Therefore, a cheap farm system developed Reds pitching prospect, such as Corcino or Cingrani, is probably the replacement for Arroyo.