Originally Posted by dunner13
Doug, serious question not trying to argue. Last year was Baileys first year with an ERA under 4.5ish, looking at his stats what tells you that 12 wasnt just everything going his way and that 2011 isn't really the real Bailey? His WHIP, HR/9 , SO/9 were all pretty much the same and he still gives up about a hit per inning. If he can keep his ERA in the mid 3's then your right he is more then a #3 but I'm just not convinced that he can.
Personally, I thought he had some crappy luck in both 10 and 11. I had dug up the information a long time ago (don't have the time to re-dig them up), but IIRC his peripherals suggested his numbers "should've" been much better than they were both seasons. Take it FWIW.