Originally Posted by Rojo
If we trade Leake and Chapman fails, then we're only looking to replace a #5. Leake's a great #5, but a #5 nonetheless. Not a code red.
If we trade Leake, Chapman fails and another starter goes south, well, it probably wasn't our year to begin with and Leake probably wasn't going to fix it.
There a few teams -- KC, MN, AZ -- that would probably do well to add Leake, but may balk because short righties with middling stuff don't get the juices flowing.
If we trade Leake and Chapman fails, we will be looking to replace a #5. I agree with that. However, I am willing to give Chapman around 20 starts (or more) to figure out that Chapman can't start. By that point, Corcino or Cingrani could be ready to step into a low-pressure #5 role. That being said, I think there is less than a 10% chance that Chapman does not perform well enough to be a #5 big league starter.
Leake may not be a big name, but MN, KC, AZ and MIA need young, talented pitching which Leake fits the bill for. Actually, AZ fans will probably remember him kindly since he was a Golden Spike finalist in their state only three years ago.