Re: Chone Figgins to Seattle?
Originally Posted by Rojo
Putting aside whether or not Figgins was "above average", I'm not sure I buy this. Best case scenario: you pay average salary for above average players across the board and win a bang-for-the-buck award. I just don't think you win much more. And it seems like an unconstructive way to dig yourself out of the awful hole.
The point was made during a discussion about properly paying a guy and mitigating risk especially since it was strongly argued that he was paid based upon a career year during his contract year (which obviously is not accurate).
Anytime a healthy position player who has been an above average starter during his control years can be signed for less than his production up to this point suggests he should be, the contract probably does a decent job of mitigating risk. In other words, surplus value is another way of talking about risk management. That was kind of the point.
No where has it been suggested that surplus value should be accumulated just for the sake of it. The goal is improving the team which means being at least average in as many positions as possible while trying to be as above average in as many places as possible. Surplus value is important because it also implies that this goal is being pursued as efficiently as possible so that the most production can be bought with the given resources as possible. The point wasn't to sign Figgins because the Ms saw a chance to get hypothetical surplus value. The point was the Ms signed a guy that addressed several of their needs and fit their ball park in such a way as he would be expected to improve them. They signed him to a contract that essentially had a built in buffer given it's surplus value. In other words, Figgins was projected to be something like a 3-3.5 WAR player in year one. But given the way he was paid, he could've been a full 1.5 WAR worse than that and his production would still be within market rates. As it turns out the "buffer" wasn't nearly enough. But hey, that's free agency.
What would your ideal contract for a starting position player on the free agent market look like?
"This isnít stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
Last edited by jojo; 11-28-2012 at 07:17 PM.