Originally Posted by M2
Plus, at some point the Reds are going to be just about the last team at the table. The remaining CF market, at least among likely buyers, looks like the Reds, Phillies, Giants, Rangers and maybe the Rays or Brewers. Hamilton, Bourn, Pagan, Victorino and Morgan are still free agents. That's six teams and five free agents (though Hamilton probably will get a job in an OF corner). And Coco Crisp is surely on the market as well. The Rox would be wise to take the deal they can get rather than hold out for pie in the sky.
You know the Giants, Phils, and Rangers have cash enough to afford some combination of the three top CF. That's Hamilton (A Phillie, IMO), Bourn (Giant), and Pagan (Rangers).
I don't think Texas will be willing to send any pitching to Colorado, Philadelphia has little in the minor league pipeline, and San Francisco is a division rival.
The Brewers are next and need a leadoff hitter. They have some coin, but no pitching. None. So Victorino, IMO, makes the most sense.
The Rays do have pitching, but little capability to spend money. Nor willingness. They also have Desmond Jennings, Lars Anderson, and a couple more minor leaguers they seem to like. There's always Ben Zobrist too-- though he's going to apparently go back to SS this season. (Which I love.) They might find Nyjer Morgan a good fit as a backup bench bat and part-timer CF. (That's the Ray MO.)
That leaves the Reds in the Fowler catbird seat, I'd wager. Well, it's him or Coco Crisp. Crisp would be far cheaper in terms of prospect cost, but Fowler's a really nice secondary player. (Or at least he might be.)