Originally Posted by M2
Here's the park factors for 2012 - http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfac...ort/hitsFactor
. Fenway ranks second for hits. It is famously great for BA. It turned Pete Runnels into a two-time batting champion. Fenway has been a BA paradise for more than a century. I don't care what your theories are about what maybe makes a good BA park, Fenway is the gold standard.
And AT&T and Citi Field bring up the rear of the pack.
If you put Pagan's numbers through a stats neutralizer (e.g. adjust him as if his career had been played for the 2012 Red Sox) you get a career .298/.351/.448 slash line. Ellsbury is .297/.349/.442. It's the exact same tool set and an almost identical performance. They might as well be the same human.
All park factors are for every hitter, so they are rather meaningless when appllied to individual hitters. Every hitter is going to react differently to every park. Sure lots of right handed power hitter get lots of flyballs turned into hits because of the green monster, but a slap hitter like Pegan probably won't.
Sure, a few lefites with great bat control like Runnels or Boggs can master the uniqueness of Femway, but Pegan ain't one of them. A slap hitter like Pegan is going to benefit more from a big ballpark than from a small one like Fenway. I'm pretty sure that if you put Pegan in Fenway, his BA would go down.