Originally Posted by Plus Plus
I disagree with your projections. Gregorius has 20 career minor league home runs in 1,909 career minor league plate appearances. In 561 PAs in 2012, he had 7. This doesn't sound like a guy who projects for 13 home runs in any season in MLB, especially in NL-west ballparks.
He has also been young for every level he is at and often hasn't even tried to hit for power. He went to AAA this season and made an attempt to hit for power. Wound up with 6 home runs in 200 at bats. When he wants to use a power swing, the swing, strength and bat speed are there. He simply doesn't go to it often at this point in his career. As he matures his approach and game, he will go to it more often. Plenty of scouts I have talked to have Gregorius in the 10-15 HR area. I really don't care what his power numbers in the minor leagues from age 18-22 say. I have watched him swing the bat in a way that will produce power in the future, at least a moderate amount. I doubt he ever cracks 20 home runs, but he isn't Juan Pierre or Willy Taveras with the power either.