Originally Posted by RedEye
I don't have the stats right now to back this up, but for my money bullpen pitching is the most volatile position in the majors. Very few closers maintain performance for a long period time and every year there are unexpected meltdowns (see Lidge, Brad or Williams, Mitch) and surprisingly dominant guys culled from elsewhere--maybe the minors or from other parts of pitching staffs.
It's not that I have a problem with Broxton per se, and overall I like the way the bullpen is headed in terms of sheer numbers and arms. What I don't like is allocating extra cash to a pitcher who most likely won't be too much better than someone who makes much less.
Well, that's a good point as well. Relief pitching is volatile.. I guess my approach says that due to the typical reliver being volatile, guys like Marshall, Broxton, Chapman (in the pen) are even more valuable.
It's different ways of looking at the same problem. The Reds were able to dig up Hoover and Simon last year for almost nothing, which supports your argument that decent relievers are available. Not sure how those guys will do next year though. I have more hope for Hoover than Simon.. Honestly, if you lined up Simon, Arrendondo, Masset, and Ondrusek.. it would be hard to predict which one will be the best reliever in 2013.. Hoover and LeCure are a step up from those guys, but I don't want either of them closing.
Thank you Walt and Bob for going for it in 2012 AND 2013!
Nov. 13, 2007: One of the greatest days in Reds history: John Allen gets the boot!