Originally Posted by REDREAD
Well, that's a good point as well. Relief pitching is volatile.. I guess my approach says that due to the typical reliver being volatile, guys like Marshall, Broxton, Chapman (in the pen) are even more valuable.
It's different ways of looking at the same problem. The Reds were able to dig up Hoover and Simon last year for almost nothing, which supports your argument that decent relievers are available. Not sure how those guys will do next year though. I have more hope for Hoover than Simon.. Honestly, if you lined up Simon, Arrendondo, Masset, and Ondrusek.. it would be hard to predict which one will be the best reliever in 2013.. Hoover and LeCure are a step up from those guys, but I don't want either of them closing.
I guess what we are circling back to here are the questions of whether Broxton is actually that dependable. Marshall, I think, had a darn good track record coming in, and the sort of longevity that merits a little extra moola. Broxton's numbers have been, well, more volatile over the past few years due to injury and ineffectiveness. Not sure whether he's worth a $21 million bet... and trying out Marshall or Hoover in the role makes more sense to me.