Re: Who will be the Reds MVP in the second half of the decade?
I think Hamilton will bring a unique skillset to the table.
If he can obp somewhere between .350 and .400, he'll get 100+ stolen bases.
That would mean Taveras (or anyone else, for that matter) would have to hit 30 HR more than Hamilton and find another 10 bases on top of that between stolen bases and doubles/ triples that Hamilton doesn't. (I'm assuming Hamilton's doubles and triples will continue to roughly equal Taveras' doubles and triples.)
It's certainly possible that Taveras could do that-- he's probably the second- or third- best prospect in baseball right now behind Wil Myers and Jackson Profrar. But that's an awful long hill to climb.
It's possible that Hamilton becomes an early career Tim Raines or a Brett Butler leadoff hitter. Both of those guys are HOF, IMO.
He may not. Some speed guys don't pan out. Then again, Taveras' numbers are pretty close to those of Brad Komminsk.
"You can learn little from victory. You can learn everything from defeat."
-- Christy Matthewson
"Show me a good loser and I'll show you an idiot."
-- Leo Durocher
Last edited by Scrap Irony; 12-19-2012 at 06:49 PM.