Re: Who will be the Reds MVP in the second half of the decade?
Originally Posted by PuffyPig
IIRC, a player needs to steal 70% of his bases for them to be even a break even value. I don't think you can simply add 100 bases to Hamilton's totals without taking into account how many times he's thrown out.
There is no way 100 stolen bases are worth 30 HR's. Because even if he is thrown out only 25 times (80% success rate), that's a net 75 bases gained. And those bases do not advance any other runners.
The percentage of stolen base value depends on runs. As runs go down (and they are), SB success rate doesn't need be so high. However, you're absolutely right in calculating in CS. I failed to do so.
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