Re: Fangraphs Q&A with Hanigan
I always find it interesting when people talk about Sean Marshall and how he doesn't have dominating stuff. It's like, ok... well then... I know it's not conventionally dominant stuff, but we're not talking about a low K, low BB guy here. He's not Bronson Arroyo. While he may go about it differently, he strikes out more than a guy per inning and does a fantastic job of keeping the ball in the yard.
I really want to understand why Marshall's dominant results somehow won't hold up in the 9th inning simply because his stuff is different. I totally get not wanting to have a guy who is effective in the way most soft tosser's are, inducing lots of weak contact. But Marshall is a strikeout pitcher with plus command and extreme groundball tendencies. And while he has a platoon split, he's still very effective effective against RH.
Is it a function of his stuff being effective because it takes advantage of a lack of concentration instead of a deficit in physical ability, meaning that when a guy who comes to the plate with greater focus he can be more effective against Marshall whereas that focus won't give him an extra advantage against Broxton? That's the only thing I can think of. Because the whole "Guys aren’t really going to worry about getting beat, so they can take advantage of his mistakes a little better." doesn't actually seem to show up in his results.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.