Re: MLB Tonight picks.......
I think the Reds are the best team in the division, but it certainly wouldn't shock me if the Cardinals won the Central in 2013. They have a powerful offense and always seem to cobble together a solid back end of the rotation behind Wainright and Carpenter. They also have some solid reinforcements waiting in the minors (Oscar Taveras, Shelby Miller, etc.). They are a good team.
I would be shocked if anyone else won the division. The Pirates are young and have some potential, but I don't really like their rotation at all. Most of their off season moves have been underwhelming at best. The Brewers have Braun, but that's about it. I doubt he'll be able to carry that whole team on his back. The Cubs are still the Cubs.
So it's really a two horse race between the Cards and Reds to me. Of course, anything can happen in baseball, but I think things would just have to go disastrously wrong for both of these teams for someone else to steal the division.