Re: ESPN Power Rankings: Nationals, Reds 1-2
Originally Posted by dougdirt
Projections to true talent level. Guys with a .375 BABIP are going to regress. Guys with a .250 BABIP are likely to step forward. Players coming back from injuries. Age progression (guys under 28 are likely to take a step forward, guys over 28 are likely to take a step back - hitters).
Doug, it's been researched thoroughly that guys typically maintain 'peak' production until 32. So someone isn't likely to "take a step back" until around 32ish.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda