Originally Posted by Steve4192
How do you figure Lutz wins in power versus power?
Soto's career high is 31 homers, and he did it in AA as a 22 year old. Meanwhile, Lutz was a year older that in his first exposure to AA and posted a sub-400 slugging percentage. Sure, Lutz has hit the ball pretty well as an old guy in A ball (20 HR at Dayton in 2011 and 17 last season), but ever there he hasn't come close to Soto's career best. Lutz might have more 'batting practice power' than Soto, but in games Neftali is the better HR hitter.
Teams need lefty killers too.
Honestly, I don't think either one of these guys profiles as a starting 1B on a contending team, certainly not on the Reds. Their value is as trade bait, and I think Soto is the guy who is more likely to net the Reds a big return. He's primed for a big year repeating AAA while Lutz still has yet to prove he can hit in the high minors.
I agree both players would struggle to find a starting job, even on the Astros, IMO. If I'm taking a power guy to fill the bench, I'd want a lefty bat though. Both players struggled in their promotions to a higher level, so we'll see who can adjust next year. For now, I'll go with BA and agree that Lutz is the best power hitting prospect, which probably considers more than batting practice power. I think that Rhinehart guy could get some mention for that even.