Re: Who is Redszone's #13 prospect? 2013
Whether his late start is relevant or not, I kind of like Lutz as a prospect. He's a big guy with plenty of power. He has OPS'd over .800 several times in his career. His OBP dropped some last season, but he did have a .561 SLG at Bakersfield.
Then, after a rough patch upon his movement up to AA, Lutz went to the AFL and was sensational. 1.004 OPS in a short stint.
My concern about him is that his OBP dropped at the higher levels so far. It was .325 at Bakersfield and .315 at AA. So he's not a top ten guy, but he does have a fine minor league record.
I can see Chad Rogers as a competitor for number 13 too. His K rate has dropped througout his career, though, and I'm concerned it might be in the 5 range at the major league level. It could be hard for him to succeed as a 5 K per nine inning pitcher in the majors.
I voted for Lutz because he's had several minor league seasons of high OPS production and, yes, I was impressed by his hot AFL stint. But it's really tough to distinguish between some of these guys. Rogers, Reynoso, Mejias-Brean, all make sense here as well.
Last edited by Kc61; 01-15-2013 at 12:45 PM.