Originally Posted by texasdave
How would the people who follow these things more closely rank the farm systems of the teams in the N.L. Central?
Using a very quick and crude ratings' system, the Reds are holding up the division.
6 points for an A, 5 points for an A- and so on yields this result:
TEAM A A- B+ B B- C+ TOT PTS
STL 2 1 2 2 5 12 24 53
CHI 0 1 2 1 8 17 29 49
PIT 1 1 3 1 5 11 22 47
MIL 0 0 0 4 7 11 22 37
CIN 0 1 3 1 2 10 17 34
The TOT column is the number of prospects each team has, per John Sickels, that grade out at C+ or better. The PTS column is the value of all the C+ or better prospects using the allotment system above. The Reds come in last in both categories.
Does that necessarily follow that they have the worst N.L. Central farm system at this point in time? The Reds are a fairly young team at the major league level, so they have time to build the system back up.
I would offer a much higher weight to at least the A and A- prospects than you do in your system. In your system, Billy Hamilton is worth less than 2 of Milwaukee's B prospects. I doubt the Reds would trade Billy for those two. Maybe a 10 8 6 4 2 1 system would be more appropriate. Or even a 12 9 6 4 2 1 system.
Either way, per Sickels (and probably many other evaluators), it appears that the Reds system isn't as loaded as the rest of the division outside of Milwaukee. The Reds have clearly cashed out their system to improve the big league team. Hopefully guys like Winker, Traveiso and Stephenson make major strides next year so the Reds can have more A and A- prospects once Billy graduates. There is also a strong chance that Corcino could be an A or A- prospect if he pitches well in Louisville and/or Pensacola and doesn't lose his eligibilty. Also, if the Reds sign a lefty reliever and the Cincy rotation stays healthy, Cingrani could be an A or A- prospect as well. There could be a few wildcards who make a big jump in 2013 too.