Originally Posted by klw
Have there been any studies to see if a triple is actually better than a double plus a steal? Obviously a triple removes the possibility of a CS and the steal may come after another out has occurred, but does a triple actually mean higher expected run production.
Yes, because a triple has a 100% probability of clearing the bases while a double does not. If you've got a slow runner on first and the double was of the 'stretching a single' variety, the double might not score the runner. A triple, by definition, will send the runner home.