Originally Posted by Scrap Irony
I understand the first part of your premise, but reject the second-- ie, 3B is the deepest position in the Redleg system.
I see third base as a group of meh prospects lacking at least one tool apiece, making them all questionable at best. Only Henry Rodriguez has displayed any eye-popping production from that spot (though Vidal's numbers in the California League looked good). Mattair is next to useless, Mejias-Brean was playing at least one level too low, and none of the kids could hit-- at all.
Center field (already noted), starting pitching (Cingrani, Stephenson, Corcino, Rogers, Travieso, Moscot, Guillon, Langfield, etc, etc, etc), relief pitching (Hayes, Hoover, Lotzkar, failed starters, etc.), and 2B (Brodie Greene, Ryan Wright, Jonathan Perez, Devin Lohman, Ty Washington, even Brandon Dailey) could all be just as "talented" as 3B. Even the corner OF spot (Selsky, Winker, Lutz, Perez, Yorman Rodriguez) has just as much top end talent (more, in fact) and interesting candidates.
Agree about the pitching, I was only thinking of position players when I posted. I don't see any of those 2B being anything. Maybe Wright can be a Brendan Harris fringe type.
The bar is a lot higher in an OF corner as far as offense goes and I really only think Winker and Y-Rod are serious prospects. Could be a lot of useful guys there, but I don't see any of those being every day players. I could see Smith taking Heisey's spot as arb makes Heisey more costly than he's worth.
I think any of 6 guys could emerge as an every day 3B with my money on Vidal or Mejias-Brean. I wouldn't write-off Mattair, but I share the skepticism about him, but I think the Reds see something there. Arias needs to do something this season IMO. Rosa has more time and my optimism for Rahier is mostly coming from him getting so much love on this site on draft day. I don't like H-Rod's bat at 3B. I wish he could play SS better. It would make him a good choice as a reserve IF who can add offense, but the lack of ability to play SS may keep him off the roster in favor of a better glove.
Mostly, I just think the Reds are skeptical of Frazier every day and would prefer him in the OF or as a guy who moves around and doesn't accumulate too much time at any one spot to expose his defensive weakness in the IF. I hope Frazier dazzles us at 3B. I think his bat fits best there, but I'm not sure he can play it 150 games per season. I remember the Reds saying that LF is his best position but they need him at 3B for now. I've been trying to find a link, but can't.