Re: John Sickels' Rankings
Not sure I buy it. I get the worth based on the linear weight, but again do the Red's have a better chance of scoring with Votto on Base or with Votto hitting with a runner on. Obviously if we have a league average hitter coming up and another on deck its better for Hamilton to run. If the first guy is walked, then all the better, but these guys aren't league average hitters. I just don't buy that taking the bat from Votto's hands increases the chance of scoring. I'd rather have Votto's .330 BA and .600 Slugging Percentage with a guy as fast as Hamilton on 1B then Ludwick's .250ish BA with runners on first and second.
I think Votto has a zero percent chance of driving in a runner from second. They are going to take the bat from his hands. Stay put and Votto could still hit a single and put Hamilton on 3rd with those guys coming up and it eliminates the chance of a caught stealing or a pick-off.
I hate to disparage the dead, but the Ryan Freel years made me very anti-steal. That 70% success rate is again base on all players over a large sample. If you are going to take a chance in front of the game's best hitter, you'd better be safe a lot more than 70% of the time (and those CS rates don't count times picked-off which makes the risk higher).
Making outs on the bases is a pet peeve. If you're going to take a chance it needs to be in front of a judy hitter not the good ones. I think the big steal guys should hit 6th and 7th. The bottom of the order, in front of the weaker hitters, is where the extra bases are needed to get them around. Joey Votto doesn't need the help. He just needs the guy in front of him to keep from screwing it up by getting picked off of thrown out.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS
Last edited by mth123; 01-26-2013 at 03:10 PM.