Originally Posted by Benihana
Bottom line is that once Hamilton graduates, the Reds don't really have any positional prospects that are all that interesting. Winker is next, but after him everyone has a bunch of question marks.
That said, I don't think we need a Tampa style trade, unless Leake can bring back a top prospect or two once Cingrani and/or Corcino prove they can be counted on in the rotation. We'll need Cueto, Latos, Bailey (and hopefully Chapman) in order to contend for the next 2+ years. Plus, the fact that we have 4 Top 100 picks in this years draft (for the second year in a row) will hopefully go a long way towards restocking.
If all three of the C's (Chapman, Corcino & Cingrani) reach their potential and Winker/Y-Rod aren't on the fast track, perhaps they could trade Bailey sometime in 2014 for a stud LF (or 3B if Frazier is not the answer) if Bailey wants too much money to stay long term (this of course assumes we can lock up Latos for the long term).
I agree with you about needing those guys the next two years, but I do think that by 2016 the Reds will have trouble paying that many front line starters at market value. Both Latos and Cueto could be in line for 20 million a year type deals. Bailey may not be too far behind them. And Chapman is a wild card who also will likely be pretty expensive. At some point, the Reds may have to make a budget friendly transaction to keep their window open beyond the next couple years.
I think a deal like the one you mentioned for Bailey could make a lot of sense. Give big extensions to Latos and Cueto and hope you can get a Wil Myers type for Bailey with long term cost control. Replace Homer in the middle of the rotation with a guy like Stephenson.