Originally Posted by Superdude
I'm sure not just the lineup as a whole, but each game situation has a different "breakeven rate". Given that this whole topic basically stems from us having the poster boy for this style of baseball waiting in the wings in AAA, the obvious question is how to get the most value out of a player that will probably bring very few of the sabermetric skills we all drooled over in 2005.
Should he be batting leadoff is one question I'd have. Seems to me the breakeven rate would be drastically lower if Hamilton is trying to swipe bags in front of Cozart and Hanigan on deck as opposed to Phillips, Bruce, Votto, etc.
Agreed. A player should not be placed at leadoff merely because he can steal bases. The leadoff hitter must
have a high OBP. Speed pales in comparison to OBP in terms of importance.
I also agree that stolen bases have added value when they are stolen with a singles hitter at the plate. You don't need to steal second to be driven in by Joey Votto or Jay Bruce and you sure as heck don't want to get thrown out on the bases with your best hitters at the plate. But guys like Ryan Hanigan and Zack Cozart are unlikely to drive you home unless you are already in scoring position. Put the basestealer in front of the singles hitters, not in front of the power hitters.