Originally Posted by Scrap Irony
Chapman, despite being "almost automatic", blew as many saves last season as by-the-tips-of-his-fingertips Coco Cordero the year before. I know he looked much better (and arguably should have gotten much better results), but the end-game was about the same.
I also realize that taking him out of the pen hurts it.
However, the addition of Hoover might make the pen above average rather than dominant.
And the addition of Chapman to the rotation could mean three or four (if Bailey's second half was for real) of the top 30 starters in the National League in one rotation.
Too, if it fails, you've only lost some innings-- Leake can come in and be a fifth starter just fine, while Chapman can re-convert to closing. (Or, better, coming in as he did early last season in high leverage spots.)
In other words, you have to do this.
Coco was a blown save waiting to happen. Almost all of the time he would get out of his jams, but he would also get himself into those jams with great consistency. I don't remember all that many 1-2-3 innings out of him. To be fair to him, at the end of the day he did his job very well for us.
I've waffled on the Chapman question over time, but this article has me reconsidering again. Originally, everyone figured he would be a starter, and that late in the 2010 season was a David Price situation. Once they put him in at closer, and I saw what a devastating weapon he was there, I changed my mind. His slider can be nasty at times but is really inconsistent, and I've only seen him throw a real changeup a handful of times. (Might even have been sliders that didn't slide.)
I guess it's fair to say that the velocity he gets on his fastball worries me that he'll hurt himself, and limiting his innings would be good. Then again, he could also blossom into a lefty Verlander in an ideal scenario. I definitely look forward to his first big league start though. Seeing him for more than one inning at a time should be fun.