Originally Posted by Kc61
Paul had an .867 OPS against righties last year. He hits righties well.
These are not the same thing. He's a 28 year old with less than a full season of PA vR. And against those righties, he's hit .275/.320/.393. That .713 OPS is a better estimate of his ability to hit RHP than last year's .867 in 83 PA when he had a .385 BABIP.
If we're talking his skill, which is what we would project him to hit vR in 2013, we would project something closer to .713. ZiPS, for example, projects him at .261/.311/.404 given 335 PA. That's a useful bench bat, but not somebody you worry about losing, especially given that Jack Hannahan's projects aren't that far off and that Rolen brings intangible value that Paul can't touch.