Originally Posted by mth123
So who goes down? Ondrusek and his two year deal? Simon who they just signed? Parra who they just signed? Masset and his $3.1 Million contract? Arredondo and his $1.4 Miillion guarantee? I hope you're right, but I'm not convinced that he won't be the odd man out. 6 Starters, Broxton, Marshall, Lecure, Simon, Ondrusek, Arredondo, Parra, Masset that's 14 guys with a claim to a spot without counting Hoover. The reds would have to be willing to do something with 3 of them for Hoover to make the team. Its why I would have non-tendered Onsdrusek and Simon.
Heck, not only should Hoover make it, but Cingrani is probably better than most of those guys as well. I know they want him to start, but if its win now, I think they are better in 2013 with Cingrani in the pen rather than Ondrusek, Arredondo, Masset, Simon or Parra. I can already hear the "sometimes it comes down to who has options" speech.
I'm happy they signed Parra though. He's one I'd keep. For me Simon, Ondrusek and Masset would be the guys I'd be looking to move. I like Arredondo better than those guys, but if they could get something for him while keeping one of the others, that would be OK as well.
The likelihood is that Chapman will be in the pen to begin. He won't be a long man, what a waste of talent, he will pitch important innings even if he's not closing.
I think Simon is very llkely to stay. He's simply the innings eater. I guess Leake could play that role, but IMO Chappy is likely to begin in the pen, Leake in the rotation.
Masset missed a full season, I think he's a long shot to make the big club right away. They will want some rehab time for him.
So that means, we have a pen of Chapman, Marshall, Lecure, Simon, Broxton pretty well established.
IMO, Hoover, Arredondo, Ondrusek, Parra vie for the two remaining spots. Jose had a bad second half, Ondrusek was sent down last year, Hoover is less experienced and has options, Parra has had some poor numbers.
I think any combination of two within that group is possible to round out the pen.
The more interesting issue is what happens when Chapman goes to the rotation, which I'm guessing occurs later in the season.