Originally Posted by bucksfan2
I was watching ESPN and they had Tedy Bruschi talking about Teo and his draft stock. I love when these talking heads start to contradict themselves. He was saying that if you run a 4.8 that makes you a package LB. It drops you into the 2nd and 3rd and later rounds and you may be taken off the field for dime or nickle or penny package. But what Tedy didn't mention was that he was drafted in the 3rd round. I guess he came off the field in nickle and dime packages! It annoys me when these so called analysis's have gone through the ringer before yet still pigeon hole careers of guys because of their combine numbers. One would think Bruschi would be smarter than that.
To compound on that they were profiling LB's again and talking about what a slow 40 can do. They then profiled Burfict and his slow 40. Which brought me back to Mike Mayock who constantly said his draft review of Burfict was spot on. Well here is the thing guys, you were wrong. That is what happens when you misjudge the combine numbers. Admit that you are wrong instead of sounding like a bumbling idiot on a broadcast.
I get what you're saying but it's part of the job description. Of course a guy drafted in the 3rd or 4th or 7th round might turn out to be a starting LB. In fact more than one guy almost indisputably will. I don't think Bruschi's necessarily saying that he is predicting how Teo's career will go, rather how he believes teams are likely to interpret Teo's slow speed.
This gets to the question that has been nagging at me for a few years with regards to predicting things like this. It applies to the people predicting the bracket and elections as well.
When you put together a mock draft are you saying that this certain player is one who you believe a team SHOULD pick, or are you predicting who the team WILL pick.
Apologies to Raiders fans, but let's call this the Darius Heyward Bay test.
Given the Raiders draft history, and the late great Al Davis's penchant for drafting super fast receivers, perhaps we shouldn't have been surprised when the Raiders drafted him in the 1st round.
But would it make sense for a mock draft leading up to the draft to project the Raiders making this pick?
My guess is most mock drafts make projections on what they believe the team needs which while it might make sense on a surface level, ignores the fact that a lot of team(the Bengals included) don't really grade based on their own needs but instead draft who they believe is the best player available almost irregardless of position.