Originally Posted by New York Red
I'll second that. I'm not crazy about Joey in the two spot either.
When you look at the projections, it has Cozart, Ludwick and Frazier as all somewhat similar. That said, I agree that it's odd to see Cozart rise to the top of that group when you consider Ludwick has a long track record of performance and a very solid 2012 and that Frazier hit more in the minors than Cozart and hit more last year.
In any event, the order of those 3 is basically just about distribution of at bats, not differences in the skills. I'd go Ludwick, Frazier, Cozart personally.
Regarding Votto batting 2nd, if you have Hanigan batting 9th, it makes a lot more sense. Think about it this way:
- In his first AB, Votto has no chance of coming to bat with the bases empty and 2 outs, the lowest possible value PA.
- In his remaining at bats, the teams two best OBP guys other than him are batting before him.
My lineup is:
While I wasn't advocating for resigning him, I think Ludwick is generally underrated around here. Nothing about his bounce-back season was particularly out of character.
Look at his seasons with the Padres and Pirates. He admittedly got pull happy and his power declined, combined with a small BABIP dip (that could be random, could be approach, could be skill degredation - no way of telling really given the sample size). But when you look at last year's skill-related stats compared to career norms:
Cont% K% BB% ISO BABIP
2012 74.7% 20.6% 8.9% .256 .299
Career 75.8% 22.2% 8.6% .203 .304
There's nothing out of character there. Sure the power was up, but that's also somewhat a GABP thing (.286 ISO at home, .223 on the road in 2012).
Expecting him to hit something like .270/.340/.480 isn't unreasonable at all and would make him the obvious choice to bat at least 5th, if not 4th. I think there's very little chance Frazier puts up that kind of a line and virtually no chance that Cozart does.