Re: Optimal lineup
Hanigan has a higher career OBP when batting 7th (.396) than he does when batting 8th (.362). And his OPS is almost 100 points higher in the 7th slot than the 8th slot (.802 vs .708).
I agree that batting Cozart ahead of Ludwick is not a good idea. However, that was not the fault of the simulator but rather the fault of the projections provided by Bill James, which predict that Cozart will have a much better year at the plate than he did in 2012 while predicting that Ludwick will have a much worse year than he did in 2012. By the way, the Steamer, Oliver and Zips projections are all pessimistic about Ludwick as well, but they do have him hitting better than Cozart.