Originally Posted by edabbs44
I think we are in a much better place so I am scared to open this back up but...how do "we" know with 100% certainty that "overworked" pitchers are much more likely to get hurt? That's the part that sticks with me.
I kind of view this in the same way some have described chemistry, where chemistry seems to exist in winning situations. "Overworking" seems to be more prevalent when pitchers get hurt.
I think my main point is that, in my opinion, this isn't as drastic as "100% certainty" or "much more likely". If there is solid evidence that this is really true, I am sure we would've seen it by now.
Those questions have already been answered earlier in this thread. Please read those resources before claiming we don't really know. If you don't find those books and websites convincing I can show you plenty more. Again, there are good reasons why every baseball team in the country has adopted this philosophy.
Regarding chemistry, I think winning breeds good chemistry rather than good chemistry breeds winning. When players are playing well, having good years and winning games they tend to be happy, cheerful and get along with each other. When they are playing poorly, making mistakes and losing games then tempers get short and they get aggravated with each other. Chemistry advocates are getting their cause and effect mixed up.